Originally Posted by
wibblefox
Well not his words because I can't even find the word "reduce" in the entire interview.
You want me to read a 20,000 word interview? Sorry, not going to happen.
How about you give me a direct quote.
Smallbowl did. If I read through your arguments correctly, you say that because we can't remove the debt quickly, we have to play the long game.
It's true that we can't remove the debt quickly. Trump did in fact catch a lot of flak for saying that he'd get rid of the debt in 8 years (in that interview I linked). That said, there's really ultimately only 1 way to run that down... spur economic growth enough while keeping debt growth low so that debt to gdp ratio decreases, or running surpluses to actively pay down the debt. Obviously, to do either you can't be substantially increasing debt growth so that gdp growth is unable to outpace it.
A debt to gdp ratio development stat is already useless if expected gdp growth isn't accounted for along with debt, so you expect the tax cuts to spur totally unexpected growth, or....?
Originally Posted by
wibblefox
Trying to do a smallbowl here mate?
Come on step it up.
the number i was referring to, since it was conveniently quoted in the article i linked, was total debt. NOT debt held by the public. stop trying to play a "gotcha" game by using different numbers.
then again i'm not sure why i should expect anything different
Originally Posted by
wibblefox
1.) I can't speak for his values
2.) That is an unfounded assertion especially when you have back peddled from "it's bad because it's bad" to "it's bad because it contradicts his values"
Increasing spending is a very common way to defend against recession. Pretty much every country does this. If he believes there to be a bubble, then it follows that he wants to increase spending to combat it. This is sound economics. A nearly $10t cash injection into the economy at all levels is great.
Increasing spending is an extremely common way in modern economics to stimulate a country out of a recession. Most countries do do this. However, if he believes there to be a currently expanding bubble, then it should follow that he needs to deflate it before it pops. Pumping cash into the bubble so it expands even more is not sound economics.
Imagine if the fed did rounds of qe in 2006 lmfao
Originally Posted by
wibblefox
The government cannot and does not control the economy.
Every economist agrees that debt is good.
Your assertion that it is "irresponsible" is unfounded.
Your assertion that deficit is "just right" because Obama put it there with his horrendous management skills is also unfounded.
It's fundamentally impossible for a government to control the economy. It ALWAYS leads to economic failure.
What in the world is your standard for government control over the economy? Price controls, government monopoly on production...?
The fed pegs interest rates successfully, which does exactly what its supposed to do to the economy. a clear example of a government entity with its hand on the economy, controlling it in various ways.
fiscal policy has an undisputed effect on the economy. you just said earlier that governments can combat recessions through increased spending. how is that not controlling the economy?
debt is not inherently good. having no debt is bad, which iirc i read that you switched your stance to a few posts later
not really. bits and pieces are laid out through this post why that is
also, since you're feeling really scapegoaty, i should remind you that congress is the entity that passes the budget, not the president
Originally Posted by
wibblefox
Not true, there is nothing to gain from reducing national debt because it means spending money on essentially nothing. What would you rather, spend 10t on reducing debt, or spend 10t on infrastructure, industry, spending, etc.
The only benefit of paying off debt is less interest, and because of USA's credit rating of AAA they pay such a small amount of interest (just over 200b) that it absolutely does not matter. Do you think giving Americans 10t to spend will bring more than 200b in returns? Of course it will...
you mean, their credit rating of AAA and the fact that interest rates are the lowest they've ever been.
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/45684
this is from 2014, but still relevant. obviously that doesn't account for expected debt increases under a trump presidency, but based on their math it follows that we'd start paying something short of 1t in interest by 2026ish
reducing national debt to reduce interest payments required each year frees future tax revenues to be put to more useful things. where'd your long game thought go that you had a few posts ago?
if we did social spending, jobs programs, or programs that specifically target the consumer population/working class that has stagnated the past 20 years and especially stagnated since the crash in '08 in order to stimulate aggregate demand, and used deficits to finance that then great. tax cuts that by and large affect the class least likely to spend (upper class) and the class least damaged in this economy (upper class) aren't going to promote any real or substantial growth, and taking on substantial debt in order to finance spending in lieu of those lost revenues is madness
Originally Posted by
wibblefox
And you think that putting money in to the pockets of citizens is:
A. Contrary to making USA rich?
B. Contrary to getting rid of the bubble?
C. Contrary to reducing debt?
I don't think there is a fast way to get rid of debt, by necessity you have to play the long game. It's not really realistic to not have any government spending for 5 years just to wipe out debt is it? Again, you have to look a little further in to the future.
A. if more and more public spending has to be allocated to interest payments because of wayward debt due to lost tax revenues where debt outpaces the expected marginal growth caused by lowering taxes, yes.
B. Unless the bubble has already popped and we're feeling the pain of a recession, then it is perfectly contrary.
C. if substantial debt must be taken in order to compensate for lost taxation revenues and the specific cuts in taxation have the expected effect on the economy (low or unsubstantial growth, especially in the short term), then yes.
Originally Posted by
wibblefox
Cool, they agree that reducing tax will raise GDP. That is exactly what the tax cuts are expected to do, as I have stated many times before.
Increase GDP, debt as percentage of GDP decreases. Wow did I just do magic or did I just reduce proportional debt just be increasing GDP?
Of course they do, it'd be silly to expect tax cuts to lower gdp. Whether they increase gdp substantially is an entirely different issue. aaaaand the heart of your magic trick.
if you have to go into substantial debt to perform tax cuts, then debt to gdp ratio either doesn't go anywhere, or falls. half rate magician smh
Originally Posted by
wibblefox
As we have said many times, debt is not an inherently bad thing. Wasting money to pay off debt is not an inherently good thing. Strengthening the economy will lead to prosperity in the private and public sectors, without a doubt.
neither is debt an inherently good thing, as you've suggested. wasting money to pay off debt can absolutely be counterproductive, but wastefully spending money can absolutely be counter productive as well.